Guest Author - Tracey-Kay Caldwell
Super Tuesday is over. Clinton still leads in the delegate count, but Obama has certainly narrowed the gap with his wins on Super Tuesday. So whatís next? Without clear winner, we will look to the upcoming contests to see if they determine who our nominee is before the convention.
The next contest are on Saturday, February ninth, with the Louisiana primary that has sixty-seven delegates, the Nebraska caucus with thirty-one delegates, the Washington state caucus with ninety seven delegates, and the Virgin Islands with nine delegates. Then on Sunday, February tenth, is the Maine caucus with thirty-four delegates. Followed by the Tuesday, February twelfth, District of Columbia primary with thirty-seven delegates, the Maryland primary with ninety-nine delegates, and the Virginia primary with one hundred and one delegates. On Tuesday, February nineteenth, we have the Hawaii caucus with twenty-nine delegates and the Wisconsin primary with ninety-two delegates. And on Tuesday, March fourth, we have the Ohio primary with one hundred and sixty-one delegates, the Rhode Island primary with thirty-two delegates, the Texas primary with two hundred and twenty-eight delegates, and the Vermont primary with twenty-three delegates.
You will notice the next round of contests begins with a series of caucuses, which Obama has shown to be is best forum. So it possible that he can quickly catch up with Clinton in the delegate count, but those are rapidly followed by large primaries in Texas and Ohio. And primaries have been Clintons strength so she could rapidly regain her lead. If we still donít have a clear leader by March forth, then the next round of contest begin with the Saturday, March eighth, Wyoming caucus with eighteen delegates, then on Tuesday, March eleventh, the Mississippi primary with forty delegates, and the Tuesday April twenty-second, Pennsylvania primary with one hundred and eighty-eight delegates. Followed by Saturday, May third, contest in Guam with nine delegates, the Tuesday, May sixth, Indiana primary with eighty-four delegates, the North Carolina Primary with one hundred thirty-four delegates; the Tuesday, May thirteenth, West Virginia primary with thirty-nine delegates. Concluding with the Tuesday, May twentieth, Kentucky primary with sixty delegates, the Oregon primary with sixty-five delegates, the Tuesday June third, Montana Primary with twenty-four delegates, the South Dakota primary with twenty-three delegates and the Saturday, June seventh, Puerto Rico caucus with sixty-three delegates.
If Clinton and Obama are still closely tied in the delegate count, then our nominee for president will most likely be determined by the super delegates vote at the national convention, August twenty-fifth to the twenty-eighth. So far, Clinton has managed to hold a lead in the super delegate count, and is likely to maintain that lead, as she has years of political favors by herself and her husband to collect on. This is year when every vote in every state is going to count and every super delegate that commits to the candidates places them one-step closer to the nomination. With the process of selecting our nominee taking so long, it is going to seem like a very short race from the convention to the November elections.